Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.020359 0.026039 0.033761 0.045457 0.063587 0.092337 0.145681
2024-12-29 0.014017 0.019811 0.028990 0.045936 0.080326 0.159788 0.427925
2025-01-05 0.010596 0.015798 0.024773 0.043446 0.088916 0.230902 1.153582
2025-01-12 0.008686 0.013465 0.022254 0.042352 0.099589 0.340881 4.483394
2025-01-19 0.007763 0.012519 0.021869 0.045572 0.126898 0.651822 320.902170
2025-01-26 0.007221 0.012102 0.022353 0.051321 0.174676 1.684022 NaN
2025-02-02 0.006765 0.011727 0.022781 0.057396 0.242454 6.336809 NaN
2025-02-09 0.006118 0.010820 0.021676 0.057934 0.284825 22.934397 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005595 0.010073 0.020751 0.058629 0.336428 262.413578 NaN
2025-02-23 0.005136 0.009385 0.019797 0.058707 0.389651 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.004626 0.008509 0.018137 0.054972 0.391058 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.004296 0.007994 0.017365 0.054782 0.445495 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.004001 0.007571 0.016908 0.056679 0.574993 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003702 0.007103 0.016233 0.057312 0.717060 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003361 0.006484 0.014957 0.053943 0.740208 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.003105 0.006036 0.014108 0.052469 0.828996 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002985 0.005905 0.014220 0.056818 1.298626 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002921 0.005901 0.014748 0.064674 2.676951 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002853 0.005877 0.015208 0.073099 6.656623 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002702 0.005612 0.014744 0.073850 10.677179 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002568 0.005377 0.014336 0.074823 19.145267 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002439 0.005140 0.013872 0.074933 35.149714 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002277 0.004796 0.012934 0.069722 31.413033 NaN NaN